French election trading forex

French election trading forex

23/04/ · The first round of the French Presidential elections is held on Sunday, April 23rd, and the stakes are very high. Opinion polls in the past week have been showing an open 4-way race. Any two of the four leaders can make it into the second blogger.comted Reading Time: 6 mins 21/04/ · Most markets are closed for the weekend and will open late on Sunday evening. By the French clock, currency trading opens at and commodities at midnight. For specific times on various markets, click here. Traditionally, the results of the first round are televised in France at However, this year the polls are closing a bit later 05/04/ · French Election Overview and Potential Euro Impact CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74 % of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider

Market Overview - How to Trade the French Elections - blogger.com

A terrorist attack in Paris last night makes the threat of outsiders very real for the people of France who will be going to the polls this Sunday to vote in an election that could have massive implications not just for France, but for the entire world. The attack french election trading forex clearly designed by ISIS to disrupt the elections but how will it sway voters? All trading carries risk.

By law, french election trading forex, starting at midnight tonight all candidates must stop campaigning and pollsters need to take a break. This will give the French people some much needed quiet time to sort things out before going to the polls on Sunday.

Most markets are closed for the weekend and will open late on Sunday evening. By the French clock, currency trading opens at and commodities at midnight. For specific times on various markets, click here. Traditionally, the results of the first round are televised in France at However, this year the polls are closing a bit later. Voting in rural areas will close at and in the big cities at french election trading forex That gives us a three-hour window from the time voting closes to the time the Forex markets open, which should be plenty of time to give us a pretty clear indication of the winner, especially if the outcome is clear.

However, if it is a tight race we french election trading forex be looking to get the final results only after the markets are open. WARNING : As the initial results will certainly be known before the markets open it is likely that we will see some large gaps in the market depending on the outcome. The market is currently pricing in the most likely outcome from the latest polls… A Le Pen Vs Macron runoff with France uniting behind Macron in the second round in order to block the extremist.

As we explained in this videofrench election trading forex, and as we saw clearly in both the Brexit Referendum and the Trump Election, the biggest market moves come when the unexpected thing happens.

So, if the above scenario happens we could get through this with fairly little panic and start focusing directly on the UK snap elections. However, any french election trading forex outcome is likely to have a large impact. For the purposes of simplicity, we can break down most assets into risk on and risk off, or in this case Pro-Europe or Anti-Europe. Safe havens include GoldYenSwiss Francand possibly the US Dollar.

Risk assets are Stock Indices especially Fra40 and Ger30 and the Euro. Using the new eToro ProCharts toolwe can see them all in a single glance. Notice: how the risk assets on the bottom have been rising steadily over the past few weeks. European markets are clearly pricing in the above-outlined scenario with an eventual Macron win.

Yet, the global safe havens on the top have been gaining recently as well, which could be due to other geopolitical factors as well.

Clients in eToro have been short on all stock indexes over the past year. At the moment, the shorts are slightly greater but that could certainly change by this evening. For the first round, there are six possible outcomes. So the probability of any outcome is about Here is how analysts are currently viewing each of the outcomes.

Remember how everyone was saying the stocks would fall if Trump won in the USA? Well, they did for the first few hours as the votes were being counted, but the subsequent days and weeks saw one of the biggest bull markets in history. Any of the above scenarios that involve Le Pen or Melenchon winning the first round could cause further stress as people come to the same realization that Tom Hanks did in The Terminal…. Wishing you an amazing weekend. Always feel free to contact me directly with any questions comments or feedback, french election trading forex.

Analysis Strategies Brokers Dukascopy Europe XM Moneta Markets Forex B2B Education. Forex News, Analysis, Charts and Forex Brokers comparic. Home Brokers Market Overview — How to Trade the French Elections.

Hi Everyone, A terrorist attack in Paris last night makes the threat of outsiders very real for the people of France who will be going to the polls this Sunday to vote in an election that could have massive implications not just for France, but for the entire world.

On the seventh day he rested By law, starting at midnight tonight all candidates must stop campaigning and pollsters need to take a break. Which Markets will be Affected? The latest polls Here it is… But really? Who cares about polls at this point? I want to know the odds. This is what the market is expecting. We could see little or no movement. Possible move out of the safe haven assets. Fillion is a weaker candidate than Macron and it will be harder for him to win against Le Pen, french election trading forex.

Both of these candidates are for leaving the EU. Most stable for the markets. Very good for risk assets. Two weak candidates. Things could get a bit weird.

Huge disclaimer on this one, french election trading forex. Always keep in mind the current direction of the market as french election trading forex can sway very quickly. MatiGreenspan Best regards, Mati Greenspan Senior Market Analyst Leave us a comment! Error, group does not exist! Check your syntax! ID: 3. RELATED ARTICLES MORE FROM AUTHOR.

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Amplify Trading Morning Briefing - 7th February 2017 **French election analysis**

, time: 23:43

Forex - Trading The French Election 05/04/ · French Election Overview and Potential Euro Impact CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74 % of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider As French election approaches, the situation on European markets becomes increasingly tense. Orbex expert team has prepared a special FREE webinar, highlight